Bigger than Saudi Arabia?

Brian Hicks

Posted July 15, 2013

As we watch on a daily basis the smoke and mirrors show that the Dow has become over the last year or two, and as we anxiously await the grand finale…

There is a real, physical, tangible economic boom actually happening here in the United States.

And there is no better illustration of this boom than the biggest of the lower 48 states: the often criticized, often feared, often misunderstood — but never underestimated — Lone Star State.

That’s right. Texas.

Known historically (and in no small part thanks to the 1980s pop culture TV icon Dallas) for its oil production and oil culture, Texas was the actual setting of the original oil strike, the mother of them all, at Spindletop back in 1901.

spindletop

Following the strike at Spindletop, the image of vast, flat plains crowded by the characteristic skeletonized oil derricks became the image of Texan industry, Texan wealth, and ultimately, Texan influence over the rest of the nation — as well as overseas, where its oil comprised a healthy chunk of the global market.

And today, dear reader, I’m writing today to tell you the image of the gusher you see above… is back.

As of last March, Texas is the world’s 11th largest oil producer.

That means if Texas were its own nation (and many of its residents think it is), it would rank 11th on the world scene of oil production.

On a list that starts with Saudi Arabia, the United States, and Russia, Texas — with 2.41 million barrels of oil produced per day — comes in at number 11, above Nigeria and below Mexico (which is only ahead by a mere 150,000 barrels).

Taken in comparison with the rest of the United States, the magnitude of this industry is even more dramatic…

Texas, with a state population amounting to 8% of the country’s 314 million, makes up 23% of our total national oil outputout-producing the average American citizen, per capita, at a rate of 3 to 1. 

And here’s the best part: Unlike many of the other names on that list of major oil producers, Texas isn’t destined for imminent collapse when the wells start running dry.

Because, like most other early 20th century oil empires, Texas has already been through the decline of conventional oil… nearly 30 years ago:

chart_brian_0715

What we’re seeing now with this latest resurgence is the product of modern oil production methods.

These methods are the result of technology and innovation, which will continue accelerating production rates while production in the conventional oil world gradually tapers off. 

Want to see a dramatic illustration of what the future of our biggest competition on the world oil stage looks like?

Here is an image of their biggest oil field, the legendary Ghawar, which single-handedly gave the Saudis their wealth and their empire:

2chart_brian_0715

You’ll see from the legend that 62 years of constant production have taken their toll. Even the largest conventional oil field ever discovered can be depleted, given enough demand.

Texas, however, will not be having this problem.

If the above image were of Texan shale oil reserves, 2013 would be the Saudi equivalent of the early 1950s.

In other words: Decades remain before talk of production decline becomes realistic.

Consider these facts…

  • As of June 27, 2013, Texas controls a staggering 48% of the oil and natural gas drilling rigs in operation today across the United States. Globally, Texas holds a 26% share.
  • Eagle Ford, often referred to as the Texan Bakken, has increased production 77% between March 2012 and March 2013. Inside of a year, it will likely surpass the Bakken Formation’s production rate of 800,000 barrels per day to become the No. 1 American shale oil producer.
  • Meanwhile, the veteran West Texan Permian Basic, once thought to be a dying deposit, has dramatically increased production from 850,000 bpd just six years ago to 1.3 million bpd today.
  • The Cline Shale, which many geologists believe may be the biggest shale structure yet discovered in North America, is in the earliest stages of development.

I think you’re starting to get the picture…

In a time when there’s so much to be worried about, so much to be angry about, this story is a rare glimmer of hope.

Something tells me you’re going to be seeing more and more on this resurging oil economy in the coming months.

And I plan to stay on top of it.

Until then,

Brian Hicks Signature

Brian Hicks

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Brian is a founding member and President of Angel Publishing. He writes about general investment strategies for Wealth Daily and Energy & Capital. For more on Brian, take a look at his editor’s page.

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