Private Prison Stocks and the Federal Government

Jason Williams

Posted November 8, 2024

After Tuesday’s election results became clear, investors started rushing to figure out which stocks would benefit most from a Trump presidency backed by a Republican Senate and House. Cryptocurrencies soared. Tesla went on a rampage. U.S. oil drillers jumped, too. But the biggest movers were private prison stocks. And that’s kind of ironic. Because no matter who’s winning in D.C., private prison stocks are winning for investors.

private prison stocks

That may sound strange. Republicans are for law and order and Democrats are all about flower power, right? And when we think of the U.S. justice system, we often picture government-run correctional facilities. But private prisons play a surprisingly large role in handling the nation’s inmate population. And it doesn’t matter who’s in power…

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You see, these companies contract with the federal government to manage numerous prisons and detention centers, providing a unique link between public safety and private industry. And with this connection comes an investment opportunity for those looking to diversify their portfolios.

private prison stocks timeline

In this article, we’ll explore the statistics behind the federal government’s relationship with private prisons, break down some of the major private prison stocks, and examine why investors might consider adding these stocks to their holdings.

Federal Government and Private Prisons: A Partnership in Numbers

Since the 1980s, private prisons have been a part of the American criminal justice landscape. Today, they house a significant portion of federal inmates, a trend largely driven by the rising costs and overcrowding of government-run facilities.

According to the Bureau of Justice Statistics, about 8% of federal inmates are held in privately operated facilities, a figure that varies year by year depending on policy changes and inmate population trends.

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The connection goes beyond traditional prisons, though. The Department of Homeland Security (DHS), particularly through its Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) division, also contracts with private detention centers to manage the influx of detainees related to immigration enforcement.

private prison stocks ICE

Recent reports indicate that over 70% of ICE detainees are housed in privately managed facilities, a statistic that highlights the integral role private companies play in the nation’s detention strategy.

Investment Opportunities in Private Prison Stocks

For investors, the private prison industry offers a unique opportunity to gain exposure to a sector that, while controversial, shows consistent demand driven by government contracts.

Two of the most prominent players in this space are CoreCivic and GEO Group. And they’re already on the move, bigly…

private prison stocks rally

CoreCivic (NYSE: CXW), previously known as the Corrections Corporation of America (CCA), manages a variety of correctional, detention, and reentry facilities. With its substantial network of facilities across the U.S., CoreCivic holds contracts with both the Federal Bureau of Prisons and the Department of Homeland Security.

The company’s revenue is largely derived from its government contracts, offering a steady income stream tied to long-term agreements. While CoreCivic’s stock performance has been influenced by policy changes and public sentiment, it remains a staple in this niche sector and one of the top private prison stocks.

Another key player is GEO Group Inc. (NYSE: GEO). It operates facilities that range from secure prisons to mental health centers. Similar to CoreCivic, GEO Group’s services are heavily contracted by government entities, especially for handling ICE detainees and federal inmates.

Despite facing public scrutiny, GEO Group’s diversification into rehabilitation and reentry services positions it as more than just a traditional prison operator. This diversification strategy has helped GEO Group maintain financial stability and appeal to investors interested in the broader spectrum of correctional services.

Ethical Considerations in Investing

It’s essential to acknowledge that investing in private prison stocks comes with ethical considerations.

These companies often face criticism for their role in the justice system, particularly in issues surrounding inmate treatment and the ethical implications of profiting from incarceration.

So as an investor, you need to weigh these factors carefully, considering not only the financial opportunity but also the moral complexities associated with this industry.

The Bottom Line on Private Prison Stocks

Investing in private prison stocks like CoreCivic and GEO Group offers an intriguing opportunity for those interested in sectors with direct ties to federal government demand.

But, as with any investment, it’s vital to conduct due diligence and assess both the potential returns and the risks involved.

And if you’re open to exploring unconventional sectors, private prison stocks may offer the right balance of steady government contracts and high-yield potential.

To your wealth,

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Jason Williams

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After graduating Cum Laude in finance and economics, Jason designed and analyzed complex projects for the U.S. Army. He made the jump to the private sector as an investment banking analyst at Morgan Stanley, where he eventually led his own team responsible for billions of dollars in daily trading. Jason left Wall Street to found his own investment office and now shares the strategies he used and the network he built with you. Jason is the founder of Main Street Ventures, a pre-IPO investment newsletter; the founder of Future Giants, a nano cap investing service; and authors The Wealth Advisory income stock newsletter. He is also the managing editor of Wealth Daily. To learn more about Jason, click here.

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